0xaa9bb36d044eb75a37bdbbbd005cbcec9e88ea9b
- Realised P&L
- $-16.22
- Volume
- $155.00
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $40.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sean Parnell be the next confirmed Army Secretary? · No | 0.720 | 0.685 | $13.70 | −$0.70 |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.570 | 0.495 | $9.90 | −$1.50 |
| Will Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · No | 0.470 | 0.395 | $7.90 | −$1.50 |
| Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? · No | 0.500 | 0.230 | $4.60 | −$5.40 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.460 | $2.30 | −$0.80 |
| Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · No | 0.350 | 0.110 | $2.20 | −$4.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.499Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.700Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?