Hexagon555
0xaa98a97f71cbe19348798775b23696c9baa290bb
- Realised P&L
- $-17.8k
- Volume
- $3.95M
- Markets traded
- 634
- Open portfolio
- $835.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded634
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.964S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
- +$1.8kat 0.888WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.111Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.450Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.238Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.967 | $12.57 |
| 08-04 22:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.968 | $484.00 |
| 08-04 22:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $29.14 |
| 08-04 22:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.937 | $70.28 |
| 08-04 22:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.18 |
| 08-04 22:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.929 | $27.87 |
| 08-04 21:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.957 | $8.61 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.24 |
| 08-04 21:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.0586215844 | $7.23 |
| 08-04 20:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.25 |
| 08-04 20:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $112.50 |
| 08-04 20:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.0417176496 | $89.86 |
| 08-04 20:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.46 |
| 08-04 19:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | SELL | 0.09 | $35.10 |