PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaa92fa8bb175343d027bccb3b465d2c32489ff3b

Realised P&L
$-149.01
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
195
Open portfolio
$1.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded195
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22? · Yes0.3700.235$1.22$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00$9.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$12.62
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8? · Yes0.9580.000$0.00$115.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 12:05Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.59$9.94
09-20 07:24Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22?BUY0.3699999422$1.92
09-19 15:51Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.4599999751$7.75
09-19 10:52Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?SELL0.6060609613$5.17
09-19 10:50Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.65$1.86
09-19 08:17Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.6799999024$1.95
09-19 04:11Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.5699999766$4.87
09-18 10:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.67$2.74
09-18 06:08Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.4699999976$1.93
09-17 17:19Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?SELL0.6151653335$97.67
09-16 16:01Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.5516636365$87.59
09-16 13:52Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?SELL0.88$2.52
09-16 10:52Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16?BUY0.6799999024$1.95
09-16 09:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?SELL0.78$32.32
09-16 06:52Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.7099999952$29.42