0xaa92fa8bb175343d027bccb3b465d2c32489ff3b
- Realised P&L
- $-149.01
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.63at 0.434Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
- +$14.75at 0.759Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$11.54at 0.732Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$8.46at 0.704Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
- +$6.96at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.59 | $9.94 |
| 09-20 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999422 | $1.92 |
| 09-19 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4599999751 | $7.75 |
| 09-19 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.6060609613 | $5.17 |
| 09-19 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.86 |
| 09-19 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6799999024 | $1.95 |
| 09-19 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999766 | $4.87 |
| 09-18 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.74 |
| 09-18 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4699999976 | $1.93 |
| 09-17 17:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.6151653335 | $97.67 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5516636365 | $87.59 |
| 09-16 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.52 |
| 09-16 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6799999024 | $1.95 |
| 09-16 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $32.32 |
| 09-16 06:52 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999952 | $29.42 |