Giannis34x
0xaa903818f3f2d6fb6790cc55672bb99ab734c709
- Realised P&L
- $7.9k
- Volume
- $494.2k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State vs. Alabama · Alabama | 0.480 | 0.585 | $2.3k | +$411.23 |
| Spread: Alabama (-18.5) · Alabama | 0.490 | 0.295 | $685.58 | −$453.18 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · San Diego Padres | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$710.50 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants · San Francisco Giants | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.81 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$388.86 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.556 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$910.00 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins · Atlanta Braves | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$671.27 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$650.63 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.477Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$1.7kat 0.503Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- +$1.7kat 0.631New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$1.7kat 0.502Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$1.6kat 0.510Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:12 | Florida State vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.46 | $2.48 |
| 09-19 22:11 | Florida State vs. Alabama | BUY | 0.48 | $1.9k |
| 09-19 20:43 | Spread: Alabama (-18.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $1.1k |
| 08-17 23:43 | San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.49 | $710.50 |
| 08-17 21:06 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.59 | $21.15 |
| 08-17 20:45 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.58 | $681.50 |
| 08-16 20:20 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.2k |
| 08-16 16:13 | Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.6k |
| 08-16 12:47 | Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.6k |
| 08-16 01:43 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 08-15 22:33 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.999 | $2.4k |
| 08-15 21:59 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.57 | $1.4k |
| 08-14 23:13 | New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $5.77 |
| 08-14 23:13 | New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $968.85 |
| 08-13 23:02 | DET vs. CIN: O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.5065529985 | $1.3k |