PathosKV
0xaa888433fd460023dbfb57b8976279f14860097e
- Realised P&L
- $18.47
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $125.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.115 | $53.26 | −$48.74 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.573 | 0.598 | $52.14 | +$2.14 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.021 | $12.42 | −$7.58 |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $7.50 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.79at 0.137Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.92at 0.018Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$1.32at 0.001Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:11 | Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:08 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.187 | $70.83 |
| 10-19 20:34 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 17:56 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0190556667 | $57.17 |
| 10-11 02:32 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0329999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 15:10 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1319999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 22:08 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5729999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 15:39 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.056 | $56.00 |
| 09-21 15:34 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 21:39 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $25.50 |
| 09-13 20:24 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 09:42 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $25.50 |
| 09-13 09:39 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.038 | $17.10 |
| 08-30 22:12 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.26 | $52.00 |