0xaa7cee8b8f0872b5d2c15c22b2013d31c4413017
0xaa7cee8b8f0872b5d2c15c22b2013d31c4413017
- Realised P&L
- $1.62
- Volume
- $116.61
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $43.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? · No | 0.960 | 0.969 | $8.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.965 | $8.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? · No | 0.959 | 0.960 | $8.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 28? · No | 0.950 | 0.855 | $7.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 29? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.765 | $6.37 | −$1.63 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 29? · No | 0.950 | 0.745 | $6.27 | −$1.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.31at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?
- +$0.31at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?
- +$0.30at 0.965Will Solana reach $130 on September 27?
- +$0.23at 0.972Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12AM ET
- +$0.22at 0.973Will XRP reach $1.65 on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.959 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 05:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 05:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 04:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 16:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9499999584 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27? | BUY | 0.9499999584 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 10:46 | Solana Up or Down - September 27, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.9751728804 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 10:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 10:16 | Will Solana reach $130 on September 27? | BUY | 0.951999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 10:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 09:45 | Will XRP reach $1.65 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9609999999 | $8.00 |
| 09-27 09:30 | Will XRP reach $1.70 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9729999968 | $8.00 |