securebet
0xaa7a74b8c754e8aacc1ac2dedb699af0a3224d23
- Realised P&L
- $22.9k
- Volume
- $899.0k
- Markets traded
- 4,386
- Open portfolio
- $160.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,386
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$944.18at 0.013Who will win young men?
- +$640.30at 0.011Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
- +$550.81at 0.139Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
- +$523.99at 0.499Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
- +$507.56at 0.477Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.3186083214 | $4.44 |
| 09-29 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.0794117647 | $6.75 |
| 09-25 17:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6461670762 | $73.64 |
| 09-24 19:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.70 |
| 09-24 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.07 |
| 09-24 17:15 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.0334310345 | $2.42 |
| 09-24 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $22.19 |
| 09-24 17:07 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.0465089806 | $9.58 |
| 09-19 23:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.1133333333 | $5.10 |
| 09-19 23:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-19 23:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-19 22:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.0445587716 | $2.52 |
| 08-28 03:47 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $255.51 |
| 08-27 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 27? | SELL | 0.95 | $28.68 |