PolyBot

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Traders

securebet

0xaa7a74b8c754e8aacc1ac2dedb699af0a3224d23

Realised P&L
$22.9k
Volume
$899.0k
Markets traded
4,386
Open portfolio
$160.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded4,386
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 29? · No0.5701.000$41.98+$18.04
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 29? · No0.8400.795$31.80−$1.80
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on September 29? · Yes0.0370.285$28.50+$24.80
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29? · Yes0.3050.380$20.49+$4.05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 29? · No0.6201.000$14.99+$5.69
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 29? · Yes0.0790.085$7.22+$0.47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 29? · Yes0.1700.130$6.50−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 29? · Yes0.2900.465$4.65+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 29? · Yes0.0900.040$4.00−$5.00
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 29? · Yes0.0800.001$0.03−$4.77
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on September 24? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$2.31
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 14? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 7? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 06:40Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 29?BUY0.3186083214$4.44
09-29 06:39Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 29?BUY0.0794117647$6.75
09-25 17:39Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 26?BUY0.6461670762$73.64
09-24 19:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?SELL0.14$7.70
09-24 18:59Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?SELL0.2$3.00
09-24 18:59Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?SELL0.25$1.07
09-24 17:15Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on September 24?BUY0.0334310345$2.42
09-24 17:07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on September 24?BUY0.14$22.19
09-24 17:07Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on September 24?BUY0.0465089806$9.58
09-19 23:46Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 19?SELL0.1133333333$5.10
09-19 23:44Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 19?SELL0.99$9.90
09-19 23:23Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 19?BUY0.14$1.40
09-19 22:32Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.0445587716$2.52
08-28 03:47Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 27?SELL0.999$255.51
08-27 21:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 27?SELL0.95$28.68