0x5Ed5dE1E1C6Dd9E731398489AddeFCD5CeFa5EF2-1771516245207
0xaa6e43b399913e73910b586b6d2eb2a31b788458
- Realised P&L
- $-34.06
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $16.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? · Anduril | 0.790 | 0.650 | $16.46 | −$3.54 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.54 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.29at 0.706Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$20.69at 0.830Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$6.34at 0.945SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?
- +$1.38at 0.580US strike on Cuba by December 31?
- +$-1.32at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 15:00 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 06-17 14:58 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.165 | $8.82 |
| 06-13 15:16 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $71.54 |
| 06-11 13:22 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.75 |
| 06-11 13:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.169 | $30.18 |
| 06-11 13:08 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $21.38 |
| 05-22 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.819999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-20 16:41 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.9425274714 | $108.00 |
| 05-20 13:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999959 | $30.00 |
| 05-20 13:49 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 13:47 | Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 05-20 13:45 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1869999877 | $10.00 |