billye2025
0xaa6e3bf7de699952c36e4cb46ce6a3ad4767cdda
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $130.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,798
- Open portfolio
- $4.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,798
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$163.69at 0.170Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?
- +$135.39at 0.187Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-01?
- +$120.33at 0.118Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
- +$109.35at 0.230Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
- +$109.11at 0.300Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 23:37 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | SELL | 0.37 | $69.12 |
| 10-29 23:35 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.459999999 | $81.16 |
| 10-29 22:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.8599999962 | $22.91 |
| 10-29 22:26 | Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.13 |
| 10-29 21:43 | Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.38 |
| 10-29 21:43 | Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.00 |
| 10-29 20:44 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.69 | $45.84 |
| 10-29 20:44 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.31 | $34.10 |
| 10-29 20:40 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.28 | $28.56 |
| 10-29 19:53 | Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.8599999837 | $5.28 |
| 10-29 17:52 | Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.77 | $124.74 |
| 10-29 17:49 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.8499999997 | $152.91 |
| 10-29 17:40 | Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.719999999 | $28.86 |
| 10-29 17:31 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.64 | $117.19 |
| 10-29 16:38 | Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.16 |