s995412
0xaa6b83f594a8ee247704c398abedac5eaa9f46c8
- Realised P&L
- $-18.91
- Volume
- $686.04
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $0.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.12at 0.144Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$2.80at 0.440Will Joe Biden say "Obama" during his appearance at the Ben Nelson Gala on November 7?
- +$2.68at 0.276Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
- +$2.55at 0.286Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?
- +$2.55at 0.286Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 09:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.924 | $2.18 |
| 06-16 09:01 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.881 | $0.93 |
| 06-11 11:46 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.6550632742 | $6.00 |
| 06-11 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:42 | Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:41 | Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:41 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:41 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:41 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.936 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:40 | Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:40 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:40 | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:40 | Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:39 | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 11:39 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |