PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

s995412

0xaa6b83f594a8ee247704c398abedac5eaa9f46c8

Realised P&L
$-18.91
Volume
$686.04
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$0.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election? · Yes0.8100.305$0.38−$0.62
Will Trump say "Thank you" 8+ times during Malaysia events on October 26? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx · Casper Ruud0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs · DRX Challengers0.6200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.9200.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · MOUZ0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30? · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$1.00
Jets vs. Flames · Flames0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$1.04
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-29? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 09:04Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.924$2.18
06-16 09:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.881$0.93
06-11 11:46Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 12?BUY0.6550632742$6.00
06-11 11:44Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12?BUY0.5$1.00
06-11 11:42Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
06-11 11:41Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
06-11 11:41Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?BUY0.33999983$1.00
06-11 11:41Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
06-11 11:41Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.936$1.00
06-11 11:40Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
06-11 11:40Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.579999826$1.00
06-11 11:40Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
06-11 11:40Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
06-11 11:39Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
06-11 11:39Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?BUY0.32$1.00