baobop
0xaa676f8c14ca8998cfa6fb0872e180c8c5121457
- Realised P&L
- $-187.29
- Volume
- $228.2k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $54.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $54.09 | +$0.03 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.53 | −$3.67 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET · Up | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.35 |
| Dolphins vs. Panthers · Dolphins | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$586.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Down | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$903.69at 0.520Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets
- +$25.64at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
- +$20.55at 0.520Panthers vs. Jets
- +$19.00at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$15.90at 0.682Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 11:28 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.06 |
| 08-29 13:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.99 |
| 08-29 03:42 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.10 |
| 08-04 03:23 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.11 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.00 |
| 07-04 05:32 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.05 |
| 06-21 08:57 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.93 |
| 06-07 13:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.998 | $51.00 |
| 05-23 13:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.78 |
| 05-14 00:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $51.00 |
| 04-25 12:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.70 |
| 04-09 23:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.99 |
| 03-29 09:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of March? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.59 |
| 03-17 14:55 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of March? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 01:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.00 |