lightsama
0xaa64c3a3f123e18fa7e08523cdad28620fb6cbf7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $43.77
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $25.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.545 | $20.51 | −$3.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? · No | 0.862 | 0.825 | $5.07 | −$0.23 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.64 | $7.24 |
| 09-16 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-16 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |