eringonzales
0xaa6465251a4538d8e9d56830ddc630413cb72b07
- Realised P&L
- $1.63
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $23.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W50 Berkeley, CA: Hanna Chang vs Kailey Evans · Hanna Chang | 0.760 | 1.000 | $16.94 | +$4.07 |
| Korea Open: Alina Korneeva vs Darya Astakhova · Alina Korneeva | 0.870 | 0.865 | $6.12 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.988Will Solana reach $250 in April?
- +$0.19at 0.988Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.18at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
- +$0.14at 0.987Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?
- +$0.12at 0.998Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:22 | Korea Open: Alina Korneeva vs Darya Astakhova | BUY | 0.8699999845 | $6.16 |
| 01-31 13:43 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9939999997 | $12.55 |
| 01-30 15:13 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.20 |
| 01-30 15:06 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999242 | $7.43 |
| 01-30 14:28 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999882 | $38.56 |
| 01-30 12:08 | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.99 |
| 12-30 12:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.31 |
| 12-30 09:47 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.59 |
| 12-29 18:40 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.67 |
| 12-29 18:39 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.18 |
| 10-31 14:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.63 |
| 10-30 17:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.04 |
| 09-29 14:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.56 |
| 09-29 05:37 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999834 | $19.63 |
| 09-29 03:07 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999111 | $11.01 |