lubi
0xaa641685c2f316532bbb1266cf0034f69921bf96
- Realised P&L
- $-60.0k
- Volume
- $402.6k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $233.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.341 | 0.265 | $233.30 | −$66.72 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.170 | $0.24 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.450Spurs vs. Clippers
- +$8.4kat 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$8.3kat 0.564Raptors vs. Hornets
- +$7.7kat 0.566Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$7.6kat 0.564Timberwolves vs. 76ers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 19:58 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6 | $462.39 |
| 04-14 11:27 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $200.02 |
| 04-14 11:27 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.294314635 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 20:19 | Pistons vs. Magic | BUY | 0.54 | $13.0k |
| 04-06 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.489062565 | $550.27 |
| 04-06 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2472489552 | $412.50 |
| 04-06 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3589170302 | $424.22 |
| 04-06 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1947757911 | $231.70 |
| 04-06 19:56 | Pistons vs. Magic | SELL | 0.53 | $1.8k |
| 04-06 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5212281755 | $308.81 |
| 04-06 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4415944686 | $542.68 |
| 04-06 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3492411224 | $357.69 |
| 04-06 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2872744725 | $394.78 |
| 04-06 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5703042573 | $938.12 |
| 04-06 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5508963279 | $935.33 |