Agnesasd
0xaa5dfdf873d6eab78667b1bea5a5284e62338f56
- Realised P&L
- $-0.05
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $629.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No | 0.985 | 0.992 | $629.92 | +$4.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.62at 0.039Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.895Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.150Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
- +$-1.06at 0.848Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$-2.38at 0.053Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 06:29 | Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $625.48 |
| 06-22 07:43 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.895 | $458.24 |
| 06-05 03:00 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $267.26 |
| 05-29 02:12 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $273.70 |
| 04-25 02:08 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.895 | $447.50 |
| 04-20 03:55 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.845 | $297.43 |
| 04-17 08:35 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.848 | $298.49 |
| 03-26 02:11 | Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.879 | $573.11 |
| 03-23 02:21 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $32.31 |
| 03-23 02:18 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $18.36 |
| 03-23 02:17 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $22.46 |
| 03-23 02:13 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $15.76 |
| 03-23 02:10 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $12.12 |