0xaa4F6c360501781c714F32F1A5f8Abad2285c69E-1771865970038
0xaa4f6c360501781c714f32f1a5f8abad2285c69e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.93
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $14.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $14.98 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.22at 0.983Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
- +$0.11at 0.992Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 7?
- +$0.06at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14?
- +$0.02at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on March 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.99 |
| 09-28 10:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 07-06 08:54 | Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $4.04 |
| 07-02 04:57 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.10 |
| 06-23 10:16 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.68 |
| 05-14 07:40 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.08 |
| 05-09 10:20 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $8.72 |
| 05-08 08:41 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.81 |
| 05-08 08:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 04-30 04:10 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.003 | $5.01 |
| 04-25 03:53 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-23 07:48 | Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $10.02 |
| 04-22 08:35 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.10 |
| 04-21 08:09 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-20 04:23 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |