PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaa4F6c360501781c714F32F1A5f8Abad2285c69E-1771865970038

0xaa4f6c360501781c714f32f1a5f8abad2285c69e

Realised P&L
$-8.93
Volume
$32.0k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$14.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30? · No0.9990.999$14.98−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 10:43Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.999$8.99
09-28 10:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 30?BUY0.998$5.99
07-06 08:54Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.002$4.04
07-02 04:57Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.005$9.10
06-23 10:16Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.004$7.68
05-14 07:40Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.004$8.08
05-09 10:20Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$8.72
05-08 08:41Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$9.81
05-08 08:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?SELL0.999$17.98
04-30 04:10Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.003$5.01
04-25 03:53Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.008$10.08
04-23 07:48Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.006$10.02
04-22 08:35Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.01$10.10
04-21 08:09Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$9.92
04-20 04:23Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008$10.00