PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaa4f0eeaf4e1c13644a014928d13f8c7b024ec8d

Realised P&L
$2.43
Volume
$611.00
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$93.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8540.855$18.81+$0.02
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.935$11.22+$0.18
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.905$9.96+$0.71
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9200.935$8.41+$0.14
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.6700.925$8.32+$2.29
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8790.872$7.85$0.06
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5190.911$6.38+$2.75
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9700.960$5.76$0.06
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9270.957$5.74+$0.18
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No0.9800.977$4.88$0.02
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0630.043$3.70$1.62
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.240$1.20+$0.10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5200.088$0.62$3.02
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2200.080$0.40$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 20:54Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.89$5.34
07-13 17:44Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.92$8.28
07-12 10:20Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.046$1.20
07-10 21:16Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.788$3.94
07-07 14:06China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$11.04
07-05 05:46Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.98$4.90
07-01 17:37Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.066$1.98
06-24 18:36Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.879$7.91
06-22 14:32Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$4.30
06-19 14:01Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.22$1.10
06-17 02:57Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.519$3.63
06-13 00:45Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$3.90
06-10 15:23Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.67$6.03
06-07 14:42Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.879$10.55
06-01 22:34Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.52$3.64