0xAa4b15DA696C101aEFc6B648dF77fe12bA1AB061-1782832063138
0xaa4b15da696c101aefc6b648df77fe12ba1ab061
- Realised P&L
- $-482.63
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 267
- Open portfolio
- $41.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded267
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.385 | $13.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.295 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.455 | $9.68 | −$0.32 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.395 | $8.78 | −$1.22 |
| Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-10? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.78 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Club Brugge KV vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.06at 0.736Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$43.13at 0.700Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$21.10at 0.612VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to Score
- +$20.73at 0.577Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$15.52at 0.457Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:57 | FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 23:55 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 23:52 | Will AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 22:20 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4099999936 | $14.00 |
| 09-17 07:24 | PFK Levski Sofia vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 07:23 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 19:55 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.7099999894 | $22.75 |
| 09-16 19:47 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.99 | $7.68 |
| 09-15 21:19 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:18 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6435643373 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:15 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 21:13 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 21:03 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.36 |
| 09-15 20:51 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $2.98 |
| 09-15 20:09 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |