0xaa497c965101ed308c1ca9b60a40d56afe6daed1
0xaa497c965101ed308c1ca9b60a40d56afe6daed1
- Realised P&L
- $-0.22
- Volume
- $73.38
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $28.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.665 | $19.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.890 | 1.000 | $5.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.575 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.49at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
- +$1.33at 0.661Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$1.03at 0.711Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
- +$0.60at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
- +$0.33at 0.762Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $1.32 |
| 10-17 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:53 | Solana Up or Down - October 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $1.49 |
| 10-17 11:53 | Solana Up or Down - October 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.48 |
| 10-17 11:49 | Solana Up or Down - October 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:49 | Solana Up or Down - October 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $1.29 |
| 10-17 11:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $1.39 |
| 10-17 11:47 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 11:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $1.18 |
| 10-17 11:46 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $1.10 |
| 10-17 11:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |