hncede
0xaa3c55fac4d254bb1e48532916d256e7c6c65ccf
- Realised P&L
- $0.27
- Volume
- $256.80
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $10.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.965 | $5.96 | +$0.96 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.952 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16?
- +$0.05at 0.993World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 25?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 05:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 06:50 | World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? | BUY | 0.9929999691 | $8.00 |
| 06-24 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 06:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $227.78 |
| 04-16 06:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 04-16 06:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.16 |