PolyBot

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Traders

0xAa3A46A1DA050ef359f7A126ab3565312808E29a-1771943647735

0xaa3a46a1da050ef359f7a126ab3565312808e29a

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$89.9k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$434.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.415$229.79$58.14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1470.105$117.79$47.41
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.1980.075$29.62$48.38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4000.295$29.50$10.50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3460.159$16.03$18.97
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.055$12.22$47.78
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 01:12Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.525357636$292.99
06-28 04:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.013$1.39
06-27 17:31US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL0.002$0.62
06-19 16:39Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?BUY0.005$1.00
06-18 18:26Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.0699999974$25.00
06-18 17:51Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.9$25.91
06-16 15:02Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.6598680229$19.00
06-16 14:59Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.5343311182$18.49
06-16 03:20Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.5199999954$18.00
06-16 03:02Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.52$19.20
06-15 02:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-02 18:20WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?BUY0.1$1.00
05-26 17:41Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5199999996$287.93
05-26 16:46WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?BUY0.05$70.00
05-26 14:54WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?BUY0.3099999961$35.00