PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xaA38558F55623D3349B8e159aBe3199Ad389bfF8-1774050939467

0xaa38558f55623d3349b8e159abe3199ad389bff8

Realised P&L
$-171.49
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$70.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6620.275$70.57−$99.43
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4950.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$90.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 21:11Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?BUY0.7157602323$135.85
08-21 09:57Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.6624950987$170.00
04-26 22:14Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.3799999978$90.00
04-26 22:11Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.4953948098$100.00
04-09 12:52Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
04-09 12:49Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?SELL0.53$290.27
03-21 00:02Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?BUY0.4099999955$24.55
03-21 00:02Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?BUY0.4099999988$200.00