0xaA38558F55623D3349B8e159aBe3199Ad389bfF8-1774050939467
0xaa38558f55623d3349b8e159abe3199ad389bff8
- Realised P&L
- $-171.49
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $70.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.275 | $70.57 | −$99.43 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes | 0.495 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.72at 0.410Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$52.79at 0.722Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 21:11 | Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB? | BUY | 0.7157602323 | $135.85 |
| 08-21 09:57 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6624950987 | $170.00 |
| 04-26 22:14 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.3799999978 | $90.00 |
| 04-26 22:11 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.4953948098 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 12:52 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 12:49 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.53 | $290.27 |
| 03-21 00:02 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.4099999955 | $24.55 |
| 03-21 00:02 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.4099999988 | $200.00 |