OldManYellsAtClouds
0xaa37cd67919ba9a1ef9d44157cbfca373e48d346
- Realised P&L
- $137.70
- Volume
- $937.9k
- Markets traded
- 8,623
- Open portfolio
- $559.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,623
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 30? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 1? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 31? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $69.97 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.13at 0.816Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?
- +$5.89at 0.961Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
- +$3.21at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
- +$1.90at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$1.57at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.92 |
| 11-01 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.01 |
| 11-01 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.86 |
| 11-01 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.09 |
| 11-01 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.10 |
| 11-01 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.13 |
| 11-01 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |