OldManYellsAtClouds
0xaa37cd67919ba9a1ef9d44157cbfca373e48d346
- Realised P&L
- $872.48
- Volume
- $735.4k
- Markets traded
- 6,832
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,832
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.13at 0.816Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?
- +$5.89at 0.961Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
- +$3.21at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
- +$1.90at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$1.57at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.15 |
| 09-17 01:44 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.99 |
| 09-17 01:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $123.75 |
| 09-17 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-17 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-17 00:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $25.92 |
| 09-16 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.995 | $90.63 |
| 09-16 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $127.46 |
| 09-16 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-16 23:10 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-16 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 09-16 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $17.22 |
| 09-16 23:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 09-16 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |