0xaa296440dae35b6738a9c4d76d009a0e994a9ce5
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $147.0k
- Markets traded
- 418
- Open portfolio
- $48.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded418
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.471 | 1.000 | $48.45 | +$25.62 |
| Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$18.58 |
| Will Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$10.62 |
| Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$8.38 |
| Will EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.02 |
| Will Club Aurora win on 2026-08-04? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$730.73at 0.270Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?
- +$539.36at 0.470Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?
- +$511.68at 0.411Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?
- +$504.35at 0.350Will AD Pasto win on 2026-03-24?
- +$451.82at 0.305Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:27 | Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3899999809 | $8.39 |
| 08-05 01:25 | Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.4806130026 | $8.96 |
| 08-05 01:21 | Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.3799999906 | $18.60 |
| 08-05 01:20 | Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.464971455 | $13.87 |
| 08-05 01:20 | Will Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.289999982 | $10.64 |
| 08-05 01:06 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.91 | $63.16 |
| 08-04 23:08 | Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.2399999914 | $16.66 |
| 08-04 23:07 | Will EC Juventude vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4099999914 | $18.02 |
| 08-04 23:03 | Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.22 |
| 08-04 20:05 | Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.4499999931 | $16.32 |
| 08-04 20:05 | Will Club Aurora win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.4 | $17.46 |
| 08-04 20:02 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.08 |
| 08-04 16:36 | Will Newport County win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.0510503771 | $5.32 |
| 08-04 16:35 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.1399999815 | $5.89 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2615660753 | $12.30 |