0xaa296440dae35b6738a9c4d76d009a0e994a9ce5
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $186.7k
- Markets traded
- 666
- Open portfolio
- $145.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded666
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.675 | $80.36 | +$30.36 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.485 | $49.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.315 | $10.86 | +$0.86 |
| Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.244 | $4.54 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$730.73at 0.270Will Paraguay win on 2026-03-27?
- +$539.37at 0.470Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-05?
- +$511.68at 0.411Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-21?
- +$504.35at 0.350Will AD Pasto win on 2026-03-24?
- +$451.83at 0.305Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 20:51 | Will Clube do Remo vs. Santos FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 20:44 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 20:37 | Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $56.75 |
| 09-19 20:36 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.16 |
| 09-19 16:57 | Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 16:55 | Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 1 SS Lazio? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 16:39 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 16:38 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-19 16:34 | Will Paris FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.62 |
| 09-19 13:58 | Will CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.77 |
| 09-19 13:30 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-19 10:04 | Will CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999967 | $18.25 |
| 09-19 10:03 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-19 00:04 | Exact Score: Vila Nova FC 2 - 0 América FC? | BUY | 0.2399999975 | $7.66 |
| 09-19 00:03 | Exact Score: Vila Nova FC 1 - 0 América FC? | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $26.25 |