dgqqqww
0xaa241c5f6730256bbce5859f9d49bc845d5ea99c
- Realised P&L
- $-289.18
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $72.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.024 | $72.79 | −$351.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.60at 0.880Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$18.98at 0.943NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.27at 0.930Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 11:50 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $43.54 |
| 06-10 11:49 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $95.48 |
| 06-10 11:45 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $97.44 |
| 06-10 11:40 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $94.50 |
| 06-10 11:37 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $82.46 |