PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lokmjgb

0xaa1d1e522a4108f434f51bf5ceb0f461c7bd0eac

Realised P&L
$-797.09
Volume
$45.8k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$132.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ambient launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8700.660$33.00$10.50
Will Catena launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8700.475$23.75$19.75
Will GTE launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8700.475$23.75$19.75
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8700.300$15.00$28.50
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? · Yes0.3700.240$12.00$6.50
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6300.215$10.75$20.75
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8900.175$8.75$35.75
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No0.4200.105$5.25$15.75
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by July 31? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$22.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$11.40
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner · EDward Gaming0.0800.000$0.00$0.80
Will Patrick Bertelotti finish 2nd at the 2026 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest? · No0.6200.000$0.00$31.00
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by December 31? · No0.1200.000$0.00$6.00
Will the announcers say "Handball" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.5900.000$0.00$1.51
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16.5B by June 30? · No0.8900.000$0.00$44.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 02:45Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $16B by July 31?SELL0.7925991711$26.77
07-11 12:10Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $40B by December 31?SELL0.81$40.50
07-11 12:09Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?SELL0.83$19.75
07-09 11:59Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $7B by December 31?SELL0.75$37.50
07-06 06:13LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSELL0.999$279.71
07-06 03:46LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.99$198.00
07-06 03:38LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.74$74.00
07-05 14:18Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 9?SELL0.6$3.04
07-05 09:26Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 9?SELL0.59$4.05
07-05 09:26Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 9?SELL0.59$4.61
07-05 09:21Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $135 in July?SELL0.32$16.00
07-05 01:54Will A'ja Wilson have the highest blocks per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?SELL0.53$19.67
07-05 01:53Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 9?SELL0.44$8.80
07-05 01:52Databricks vs Stripe — higher valuation on December 31?SELL0.29945$14.97
07-05 01:52Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?SELL0.05$5.00