anoyher00200
0xaa1aa9cadbe8e9ee71aeed0db5129929f16639fd
- Realised P&L
- $-178.33
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $162.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? · No | 0.982 | 0.965 | $73.30 | −$1.33 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.910 | 0.996 | $49.77 | +$4.28 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September? · No | 0.991 | 0.997 | $39.88 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.96at 0.968Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$3.96at 0.910Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
- +$3.00at 0.950Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
- +$2.50at 0.720Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
- +$1.84at 0.969Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:44 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in September? | BUY | 0.982 | $74.63 |
| 09-14 02:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in September? | BUY | 0.991 | $39.64 |
| 08-31 03:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $27.72 |
| 08-10 09:31 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.953 | $26.68 |
| 08-10 09:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August? | BUY | 0.989 | $25.12 |
| 07-29 07:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9972177273 | $21.94 |
| 07-29 07:45 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.945 | $28.35 |
| 07-29 07:44 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.85 |
| 07-29 07:44 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.961 | $19.22 |
| 07-29 07:44 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 06-11 07:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.968 | $150.04 |
| 05-17 03:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | BUY | 0.987 | $87.84 |
| 05-17 03:47 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $57.00 |
| 04-07 02:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April? | BUY | 0.9879999933 | $85.09 |
| 04-07 02:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | BUY | 0.968 | $57.93 |