0xAA1a2078093758405078F738c2b708A51c789a77-1788811715080
0xaa1a2078093758405078f738c2b708a51c789a77
- Realised P&L
- $-9.18
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $22.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.235 | $8.59 | −$4.20 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.365 | $4.92 | +$0.33 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.055 | $3.05 | −$2.95 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.345 | $2.34 | −$0.24 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.145 | $1.77 | −$1.52 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.085 | $1.04 | −$1.28 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.546 | 0.055 | $0.91 | −$8.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.89at 0.222US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.17at 0.618US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.98at 0.587Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?
- +$2.84at 0.655Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- +$-0.17at 0.348Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.58 |
| 10-02 12:19 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.89 |
| 10-02 11:33 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.72 |
| 10-01 07:52 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.04 |
| 09-30 12:18 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.73 |
| 09-30 12:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.31 |
| 09-30 12:04 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | BUY | 0.1699999971 | $2.96 |
| 09-30 12:04 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.69 |
| 09-30 11:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.0209999997 | $1.18 |
| 09-29 11:22 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0837950664 | $0.44 |
| 09-28 20:16 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.39 |
| 09-28 16:23 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.20 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999359 | $2.76 |
| 09-28 14:44 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.70 |
| 09-28 13:58 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.89 |