0xaa13a59fe8c0c4677c70fb68a6da452e3d42e17e
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $265.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.960 | $100.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in November? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.525 | $95.03 | −$4.53 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.445 | $47.34 | −$2.66 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? · No | 0.710 | 0.505 | $21.34 | −$8.66 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1? · No | 0.286 | 0.095 | $1.92 | −$3.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.85at 0.753Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 1?
- +$-0.20at 0.050Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 1? | BUY | 0.2865358298 | $5.79 |
| 11-01 12:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 1? | BUY | 0.739247279 | $98.21 |
| 11-01 12:05 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 12:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? | BUY | 0.7099999853 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 12:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 11:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 11-01 11:02 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |