PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tesila165

0xaa080b12ac3e36581c03409a27dd9d101ccc82b2

Realised P&L
$-884.12
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$344.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.945$94.50+$12.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4600.885$88.50+$42.50
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7400.720$72.00−$2.00
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4800.515$51.50+$3.50
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6400.165$16.50−$47.50
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.7200.165$13.20−$44.40
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.6500.070$5.60−$46.40
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5700.052$2.63−$25.88
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$16.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 20-26? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$7.20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26? · No0.8500.000$0.00−$85.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00−$10.80
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$3.60
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k0.0500.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 11:15Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.174$38.28
07-23 13:02Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.15$30.00
07-15 12:06Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?SELL0.13$13.00
06-17 12:45Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.981$29.43