PredictKitten
0xaa0229c1ca0d9c8be734409cb3a3a7747cac5b9a
- Realised P&L
- $891.06
- Volume
- $148.1k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $412.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? · No | 0.859 | 0.892 | $412.33 | +$15.41 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.60 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.230Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$375.20at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9AM ET
- +$224.46at 0.110Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
- +$212.95at 0.280Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
- +$201.00at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $585.98 |
| 07-15 12:01 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 07-08 20:26 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $67.74 |
| 07-08 19:46 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? | BUY | 0.8591484848 | $396.93 |
| 07-08 19:38 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $531.19 |
| 07-08 16:41 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | SELL | 0.01934993 | $7.74 |
| 07-08 14:37 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.08 |
| 07-08 13:38 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $770.91 |
| 07-08 09:50 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 07-07 14:32 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.0261666319 | $6.28 |
| 07-07 14:32 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.024 | $4.84 |
| 06-15 14:44 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0670633673 | $10.58 |
| 06-02 08:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $191.69 |
| 06-01 16:23 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.565 | $40.35 |
| 05-28 18:10 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | SELL | 0.8049534177 | $31.80 |