PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PredictKitten

0xaa0229c1ca0d9c8be734409cb3a3a7747cac5b9a

Realised P&L
$891.06
Volume
$148.1k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$412.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? · No0.8590.892$412.33+$15.41
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$12.60
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.3k
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0230.000$0.00$36.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:36US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.69$585.98
07-15 12:01Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?BUY0.63$12.60
07-08 20:26Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.23$67.74
07-08 19:46Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?BUY0.8591484848$396.93
07-08 19:38Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?SELL0.22$531.19
07-08 16:41Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?SELL0.01934993$7.74
07-08 14:37Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?SELL0.026$1.08
07-08 13:38Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.32$770.91
07-08 09:50Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.94$188.00
07-07 14:32Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?BUY0.0261666319$6.28
07-07 14:32Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?BUY0.024$4.84
06-15 14:44US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.0670633673$10.58
06-02 08:05MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.006$191.69
06-01 16:23MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.565$40.35
05-28 18:10Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?SELL0.8049534177$31.80