krutanol
0xa9f067bb92e0ebda49d1fc12b39eedecaf0978ba
- Realised P&L
- $-645.45
- Volume
- $39.0k
- Markets traded
- 178
- Open portfolio
- $100.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded178
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.090 | $45.00 | −$30.00 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.470 | 0.390 | $19.89 | −$4.08 |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.056 | $19.76 | −$67.11 |
| Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 3? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.045 | $9.05 | −$18.81 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.044 | $3.29 | −$28.53 |
| Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.019 | $3.24 | −$26.81 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.26 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.09at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 23?
- +$3.05at 0.280Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?
- +$2.40at 0.160Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
- +$1.50at 0.310Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
- +$0.84at 0.248Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 05:12 | Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | SELL | 0.325 | $6.50 |
| 09-14 05:11 | Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | SELL | 0.337 | $7.09 |
| 09-13 07:46 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? | SELL | 0.37 | $15.28 |
| 09-12 16:15 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-11 21:11 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.68 |
| 09-11 21:10 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $13.52 |
| 09-11 20:01 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.191 | $3.75 |
| 09-11 20:00 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.196 | $9.80 |
| 09-11 19:59 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.198 | $4.74 |
| 09-11 17:08 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.122 | $5.06 |
| 09-11 17:07 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $30.40 |
| 09-07 15:28 | Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.43 |
| 09-07 05:12 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.220113625 | $17.61 |
| 09-07 05:11 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.223 | $24.53 |
| 09-06 18:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $30.10 |