krutanol
0xa9f067bb92e0ebda49d1fc12b39eedecaf0978ba
- Realised P&L
- $-668.66
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $7.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.015 | $5.16 | −$81.70 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.018 | $1.29 | −$30.52 |
| Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.007 | $1.28 | −$28.77 |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.150Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$3.09at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 23?
- +$3.05at 0.280Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?
- +$2.40at 0.160Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
- +$1.50at 0.310Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:36 | Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 10-01 05:33 | Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $21.50 |
| 09-29 14:42 | Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.02 |
| 09-29 05:14 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $7.30 |
| 09-28 14:47 | Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.17 | $50.32 |
| 09-26 05:26 | Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.32 | $37.76 |
| 09-25 05:20 | Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 09-24 18:45 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $38.06 |
| 09-24 05:14 | Will SC Telstar be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie? | SELL | 0.23 | $38.87 |
| 09-23 18:04 | Will Nottingham Forest be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | SELL | 0.1 | $40.00 |
| 09-23 14:17 | Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.08 |
| 09-22 18:59 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $16.49 |
| 09-21 18:34 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.34 |
| 09-14 05:12 | Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | SELL | 0.325 | $6.50 |
| 09-14 05:11 | Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player? | SELL | 0.337 | $7.09 |