PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa9e1779Fbaf2641e1a0E5Ab4d8A9B346B1611BbF-1777317279312

0xa9e1779fbaf2641e1a0e5ab4d8a9b346b1611bbf

Realised P&L
$9.05
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$10.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Maurício Ruffy fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0380.050$10.42+$2.42
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0350.004$0.46$3.54
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$10.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$10.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$10.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$3.00
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$10.00
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m? · No0.3600.000$0.00$10.00
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$5.00
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$5.00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 15? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$5.00
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 08:44Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.4099999984$15.00
07-22 18:54Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika AndreevaBUY0.5299999883$20.00
07-22 18:51Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika AndreevaSELL0.5326891149$45.56
07-22 18:51Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika AndreevaBUY0.5399999903$10.00
07-22 18:51Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika AndreevaBUY0.5699999926$20.00
07-22 18:50Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika AndreevaBUY0.6263701848$20.00
07-20 20:30Bloomfield Hills: Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas RuizBUY0.49499998$10.00
07-17 17:09Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-14 19:14Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.1905046591$5.00
07-11 22:02UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)SELL0.09$1.80
07-11 21:33UFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.15$3.00
07-11 21:15Will Alessandro Costa win by KO or TKO?SELL0.001$0.01
07-11 21:04Will Alessandro Costa win by KO or TKO?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
07-11 21:01Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-11 19:15Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?BUY0.025$5.00