Vasarde
0xa9dff2f78bd1117fe581929587ebc0bae019395b
- Realised P&L
- $-33.43
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.720 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? · No | 0.989 | 0.924 | $0.94 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.85at 0.540Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore
- +$0.37at 0.730Patriots vs. Panthers
- +$0.28at 0.977Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
- +$0.21at 0.996Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?
- +$0.20at 0.910Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:25 | CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:24 | Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:24 | Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? | SELL | 0.942 | $0.94 |
| 10-29 07:24 | Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:22 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $199.79 |
| 10-29 07:22 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.998 | $150.26 |
| 10-29 07:22 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.994 | $149.85 |
| 10-28 09:03 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 09:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | BUY | 0.9962245348 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 09:01 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $200.00 |
| 06-19 10:55 | Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $49.85 |
| 06-17 08:36 | Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 04-24 04:35 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $213.26 |
| 04-24 04:35 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $197.99 |
| 04-24 04:34 | Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.994 | $110.88 |