PolyBot

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Traders

Vasarde

0xa9dff2f78bd1117fe581929587ebc0bae019395b

Realised P&L
$-33.43
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$1.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.720$0.99−$0.01
Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? · No0.9890.924$0.94−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:25CISA emergency directive issued by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-29 07:24Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
10-29 07:24Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?SELL0.942$0.94
10-29 07:24Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
10-29 07:22Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$199.79
10-29 07:22Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?SELL0.998$150.26
10-29 07:22Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.994$149.85
10-28 09:03Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.995$150.00
10-28 09:02Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?BUY0.9962245348$150.00
10-28 09:01Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.993$200.00
06-19 10:55Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.995$49.85
06-17 08:36Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.998$50.00
04-24 04:35Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$213.26
04-24 04:35Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.993$197.99
04-24 04:34Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.994$110.88