goodgoodstudy1
0xa9cdcda7d86025fa1182285aaa3ccd0a9c48879b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $494.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,539
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,539
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? · Yes | 0.813 | 0.870 | $1.9k | +$124.86 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 21? · No | 0.907 | 0.948 | $1.1k | +$47.42 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 20? · No | 0.930 | 0.972 | $490.86 | +$21.21 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.955 | $34.38 | +$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$448.88at 0.881Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24?
- +$420.38at 0.828Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?
- +$314.74at 0.785Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
- +$297.50at 0.920Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?
- +$271.69at 0.852Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $31.68 |
| 09-17 10:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $63.14 |
| 09-17 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-17 10:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-17 10:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-17 10:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-17 10:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 10:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |