PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa9c3EaBa6D4Df9b1246bd62490cf036bE9170E5b-1767972916149

0xa9c3eaba6d4df9b1246bd62490cf036be9170e5b

Realised P&L
$-212.44
Volume
$80.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$51.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.005$38.70$8.44
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$10.98$3.66
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.032$2.04$3.35
76ers vs. Hornets · Hornets0.6700.000$0.00$4.43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 28? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club end in a draw? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$0.84
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 24? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00$0.99
Will XRP reach $2.00 January 26-1? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$0.98
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · No0.0090.000$0.00$1.80
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on February 24? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be 14 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.20
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? · No0.0360.000$0.00$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 16:10Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$4.29
07-25 16:08Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.004$4.64
07-17 01:13Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0069999985$4.50
07-15 21:41Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$4.63
07-15 21:41Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.005$5.00
07-15 21:39Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.002$5.72
06-02 16:12Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0053817109$3.09
05-31 01:07Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.005111408$3.28
05-30 17:37Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0056249981$3.00
05-28 17:10Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0084675281$3.18
05-25 20:04Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0176969889$3.11
05-25 16:49Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0169259749$3.43
05-25 01:31Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.009$2.93
05-23 18:01Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.0089999967$2.73
05-23 18:01Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.08$1.20