haonanaaaa
0xa9bc3c63ec7684e142ffb2ccdafc641a1dc2fa6f
- Realised P&L
- $-214.72
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $622.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · No | 0.970 | 0.995 | $512.63 | +$12.63 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $101.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.080 | $9.35 | −$90.65 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.31at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$8.12at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
- +$6.02at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
- +$5.35at 0.974Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$4.51at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:40 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.8558596958 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 09-03 09:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $500.00 |
| 09-02 08:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $200.00 |
| 08-30 06:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.988 | $1000.00 |
| 08-29 10:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in August? | BUY | 0.99890011 | $1000.00 |
| 03-12 10:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.0k |
| 02-08 13:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $1.5k |
| 01-29 04:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $201.00 |
| 01-28 15:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9959999981 | $309.72 |
| 01-28 15:33 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $200.00 |
| 01-22 16:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 19-25? | BUY | 0.995999999 | $507.68 |
| 01-16 07:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 12-18? | BUY | 0.992 | $503.62 |
| 01-16 07:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.5k |
| 12-18 16:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 15-21? | BUY | 0.997 | $890.13 |