fdg54esgwf
0xa9ba40642266bf81da622b7f6ba4077d6b445978
- Realised P&L
- $39.70
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$11.70 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.45at 0.500Virginia Tech vs. Boston College: O/U 36.5
- +$14.72at 0.500Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?
- +$12.57at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 9?
- +$11.22at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 10?
- +$8.22at 0.500Virginia Tech vs. Boston College: O/U 36.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:58 | Navy vs. UAB: O/U 35.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $5.78 |
| 09-01 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 07-06 14:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $5.77 |
| 07-03 14:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.76 |
| 06-23 13:20 | Spread: DR Congo (-2.5) | BUY | 0.995 | $6.24 |
| 06-22 10:57 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.20 |
| 06-11 00:54 | Spread: Haiti (-2.5) | BUY | 0.987 | $8.39 |
| 05-27 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.09 |
| 05-19 11:26 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $8.18 |
| 05-15 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16? | BUY | 0.935 | $20.57 |
| 05-06 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 7? | BUY | 0.993 | $8.94 |
| 04-25 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 26? | BUY | 0.991 | $30.96 |
| 04-14 05:19 | Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.9k |