PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdg54esgwf

0xa9ba40642266bf81da622b7f6ba4077d6b445978

Realised P&L
$39.70
Volume
$15.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$0.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 10? · Yes0.5000.001$0.01−$11.70
Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$335 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$16.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 9? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:58Navy vs. UAB: O/U 35.5BUY0.97$5.78
09-01 01:40Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 1?BUY0.998$2.5k
07-06 14:50Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.955$5.77
07-03 14:36Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 4?BUY0.97$5.76
06-23 13:20Spread: DR Congo (-2.5)BUY0.995$6.24
06-22 10:57Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?BUY0.99$15.20
06-11 00:54Spread: Haiti (-2.5)BUY0.987$8.39
05-27 13:22Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 28?BUY0.95$19.09
05-19 11:26Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.75 Week of May 18 2026?BUY0.955$8.18
05-15 01:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?BUY0.935$20.57
05-06 11:07Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 7?BUY0.993$8.94
04-25 09:25Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 26?BUY0.991$30.96
04-14 05:19Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.985$4.9k