VvVv
0xa9b44dca52ed35e59ac2a6f49d1203b8155464ed
- Realised P&L
- $227.1k
- Volume
- $81.98M
- Markets traded
- 3,720
- Open portfolio
- $88.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,720
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.0kat 0.001Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$73.7kat 0.038Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$61.3kat 0.001Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$60.0kat 0.500Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?
- +$53.9kat 0.001Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-22 02:35 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.921 | $736.80 |
| 02-22 02:32 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.2k |
| 02-22 02:31 | Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.9708865958 | $3.6k |
| 02-19 03:31 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $78.74 |
| 02-19 01:34 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $205.49 |
| 02-18 14:37 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.057 | $177.79 |
| 02-18 14:03 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.0561142888 | $399.35 |
| 02-18 00:10 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $330.01 |
| 02-17 18:12 | Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.032 | $96.28 |
| 02-17 17:58 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $220.00 |
| 02-17 17:39 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 02-13 16:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.04 | $400.00 |
| 02-12 07:01 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-01-31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.49 |
| 02-09 14:06 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.4k |
| 02-09 14:06 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |