0xa9a6154d033f44e1fcfcb8ba2929af0bb9af9f11
0xa9a6154d033f44e1fcfcb8ba2929af0bb9af9f11
- Realised P&L
- $-6.09
- Volume
- $74.46
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $0.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.455 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.450GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.490Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September?
- +$0.89at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.80at 0.560Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:09 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:19 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 08:21 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during his remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:37 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:14 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:13 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:42 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:16 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $188 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |