0xa99568db2b639e733691695d1c6db412ab69bb16
0xa99568db2b639e733691695d1c6db412ab69bb16
- Realised P&L
- $-15.63
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 655
- Open portfolio
- $41.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded655
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.89at 0.488Solana Up or Down - September 17, 3PM ET
- +$3.08at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET
- +$0.39at 0.916Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET
- +$0.30at 0.935Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 6AM ET
- +$0.26at 0.960Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 15:56 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.23 |
| 10-20 09:58 | XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.9689999944 | $4.29 |
| 10-20 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.28 |
| 10-20 07:57 | BNB Up or Down - October 20, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $4.28 |
| 10-20 03:57 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.28 |
| 10-20 03:57 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.28 |
| 10-20 03:56 | Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.28 |
| 10-20 03:56 | Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.28 |
| 10-20 03:56 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.9669999955 | $4.28 |
| 10-19 23:57 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.28 |
| 10-19 20:57 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.28 |
| 10-19 04:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $4.28 |
| 10-19 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $4.28 |
| 10-18 04:56 | KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.9989998385 | $4.30 |
| 10-17 23:59 | Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.29 |