PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JuanRah2

0xa99317a241014628badf274734c62b8a4d0a91f8

Realised P&L
$-15.15
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$4.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.890$2.47+$0.47
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.9200.955$1.04+$0.04
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9740.963$0.99−$0.01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$2.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 19:40Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?BUY0.9739999922$1.00
08-16 19:39GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.919999448$1.00
06-30 04:33Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.29999982$1.00
06-26 04:54Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5$1.00
06-26 04:53Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.65$1.00
06-26 04:52Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0579999464$1.00
06-23 11:45Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?SELL0.09$0.90
06-23 11:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 23?BUY0.1$1.00
06-23 11:41Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
06-22 04:37Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-22 04:35Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
06-22 04:33Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.67$2.43
06-22 04:32Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.006$0.02
06-22 04:31Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?SELL0.75$1.33
06-16 22:39Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.9$4.92