PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xa98eb807461aee34ab424905f91453128220daa3

Realised P&L
$694.75
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$88.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 11:42Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?BUY0.02$0.22
09-20 03:49Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?SELL0.1207653452$15.78
09-20 00:10Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.49$39.93
09-19 16:37Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?BUY0.1245$24.90
09-16 00:03Will there be 21-60 all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026?BUY0.83$41.50
09-16 00:03Will there be 101-150 all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026?BUY0.83$38.45
09-15 23:32Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$400.63
09-15 22:33Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.3031119134$106.63
09-15 16:26Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6878604819$114.18
09-15 15:10Will there be 101-150 all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026?BUY0.61$27.87
09-15 15:09Will there be 21-60 all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026?SELL0.265$12.19
09-15 15:09Will there be 151+ all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026?BUY0.734$33.76
09-15 14:45Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6887981972$51.20
09-14 18:59Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.767$92.04
09-10 14:16Will there be 21-60 all-time high temperature records broken at US weather stations in August 2026?BUY0.011$0.22