0xa98dbe704dacefddafa63050f7769efd54fbeabe
0xa98dbe704dacefddafa63050f7769efd54fbeabe
- Realised P&L
- $-37.34
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $204.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.465 | $39.57 | −$0.43 |
| UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) · Mick Parkin | 0.470 | 0.455 | $38.72 | −$1.28 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30? · Yes | 0.920 | 1.000 | $32.61 | +$2.61 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.545 | $32.06 | +$2.06 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.675 | $31.15 | +$1.15 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.475 | $30.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.02at 0.396Will Dominican Republic win on 2026-09-27?
- +$60.81at 0.396Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?
- +$39.01at 0.553Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$30.52at 0.512Will Guatemala win on 2026-09-28?
- +$18.57at 0.615UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:42 | West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:57 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $40.00 |
| 09-30 08:57 | Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.9199999988 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 03:42 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $40.00 |
| 09-30 03:41 | Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.8902077151 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 03:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-30 02:53 | Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.79 |
| 09-29 23:19 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 23:18 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 23:17 | Will United States win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 20:25 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.4699999999 | $40.00 |
| 09-29 19:12 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 11:42 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.82 | $49.94 |
| 09-29 04:52 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $22.00 |