izit23ai729
0xa98ae1b1cef0b41ab6ad3a4a36e6095b162db76e
- Realised P&L
- $12.13
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $1.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.980 | $1.25 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.12at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?
- +$1.28at 0.621Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.880Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
- +$0.37at 0.850Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$0.21at 0.920Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 06:18 | Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.27 |
| 06-20 01:26 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9609999951 | $2.17 |
| 06-20 01:26 | Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 05-25 07:04 | Will "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9889999983 | $1.16 |
| 05-25 07:04 | Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.10 |
| 05-25 07:04 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999991 | $4.33 |
| 04-13 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.9989992766 | $1.16 |
| 04-13 07:14 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting? | BUY | 0.919999816 | $2.40 |
| 04-13 07:13 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.8799999834 | $4.23 |
| 03-10 04:29 | Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9529994605 | $1.30 |
| 03-10 04:28 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9429999943 | $2.50 |
| 03-10 04:28 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.02 |
| 02-07 01:24 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.620999982 | $2.10 |
| 02-07 01:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.8499996155 | $2.10 |
| 02-07 01:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.27 |