JnStPrdctns
0xa98a9d23e7211c22d2259b68b1bc9d47b3013b92
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $26.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.752 | 0.735 | $23.0k | −$533.85 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.765 | $3.2k | +$231.04 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 October 5-11? · No | 0.550 | 0.505 | $717.44 | −$63.93 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? · No | 0.820 | 0.835 | $4.17 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.784Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September?
- +$838.65at 0.800Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.4k |
| 10-05 06:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-05 06:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.6k |
| 10-05 06:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $153.23 |
| 10-05 06:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $315.52 |
| 10-05 06:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $14.4k |
| 10-05 06:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $449.92 |
| 10-05 06:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399604264 | $934.92 |
| 09-28 20:13 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $106.40 |