PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hallways

0xa989eac04e31698de15e1bae071f8a429a2ebb4d

Realised P&L
$-1.75
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$13.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 17:53Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0329999996$2.84
09-23 17:52Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$3.19
09-23 04:24Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4399999675$3.79
09-23 03:56Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.009$2.00
09-23 03:56Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
09-23 03:54Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0359999997$3.00
09-22 21:28Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.0249418025$3.00
09-22 21:26Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?BUY0.06$6.00
09-22 17:53Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2179999994$8.45
09-22 13:02Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.001$0.09
09-22 13:02Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.011$0.41
09-22 13:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.31$23.25
09-20 18:46Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
09-19 04:16Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.011$1.00
09-19 04:16Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.0269999993$1.00