PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

willytrades

0xa98687d45c1b808cbf60c57da144cf0e7f542e4b

Realised P&L
$-5.38
Volume
$970.51
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$4.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0190.019$1.03+$0.03
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? · Yes0.1200.120$1.00+$0.00
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? · Yes0.0480.038$0.79−$0.21
Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? · Yes0.0360.027$0.76−$0.24
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes0.1700.110$0.65−$0.35
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · Yes0.1300.055$0.42−$0.58
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.3310.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.3140.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 01:19Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?BUY0.0356576855$1.00
09-26 15:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.629999995$5.00
09-26 15:44Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?BUY0.0479999985$1.00
09-26 15:43U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-26 15:40Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.019$1.00
09-19 04:59Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-19 04:54Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
07-19 19:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.595$0.12
07-19 19:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.405$0.11
07-19 19:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.411$1.70
07-19 19:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.575$2.15
07-19 19:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.4$3.00
07-19 19:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.596$4.55
07-06 18:45Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2399998714$1.12
07-06 18:45Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.12$0.46