willytrades
0xa98687d45c1b808cbf60c57da144cf0e7f542e4b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.38
- Volume
- $970.51
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $4.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.29at 0.100Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$9.00at 0.100US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$5.09at 0.133Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.02at 0.337Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$2.91at 0.340Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 01:19 | Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? | BUY | 0.0356576855 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 15:44 | Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0479999985 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:43 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:40 | Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:59 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 04:54 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.595 | $0.12 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.405 | $0.11 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.411 | $1.70 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.575 | $2.15 |
| 07-19 19:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 19:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.596 | $4.55 |
| 07-06 18:45 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2399998714 | $1.12 |
| 07-06 18:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.46 |