PolyBot

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Traders

rshshaprii

0xa981d0b4c566080555ed49c029d9a3875c5582b8

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$25.6k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$76.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-13.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8190.015$76.78$4.1k
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.8200.000$0.00$10.00
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? · No0.7790.000$0.00$510.00
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · No0.2070.000$0.00$30.00
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$5.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$13.60
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 22:180 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 7?BUY0.0149672591$10.00
06-29 20:30Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6699999987$30.00
06-29 20:18Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6169154213$100.00
06-29 12:25Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8344526535$4.0k
06-29 12:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.9927652097$4.2k
06-29 10:30Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.509803917$50.00
06-29 10:04Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.7787492361$510.00
06-28 21:49Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
06-21 10:46Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.68$13.60
06-21 00:40Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?BUY0.0989999901$10.00
06-20 23:34Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.977$31.01
06-20 10:58Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?BUY0.6299999716$20.00
05-22 22:38Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.7269999952$100.00
05-22 09:51Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.7479999938$100.00
05-19 22:33Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.6578082479$100.00