patma
0xa9801c16fd3fa7345916172a60951b3ba2d38080
- Realised P&L
- $732.74
- Volume
- $310.6k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $29.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.098 | $29.1k | +$9.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.363Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$21.88at 0.245Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
- +$5.04at 0.760Will Leavitt say "Minnesota" or "Walz" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$2.87at 0.730Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 18)
- +$-13.33at 0.217Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.091 | $2.63 |
| 10-19 12:54 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0909883889 | $292.61 |
| 10-19 12:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0889862152 | $165.39 |
| 10-19 12:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.088 | $22.37 |
| 10-19 12:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.087 | $5.38 |
| 10-19 12:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.086 | $4.39 |
| 10-19 12:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.085 | $10.20 |
| 10-19 12:51 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.085 | $8.50 |
| 10-19 12:50 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.90 |
| 05-06 19:37 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.118 | $5.22 |
| 05-06 19:36 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1179988354 | $746.72 |
| 05-06 19:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.117 | $466.87 |
| 05-06 19:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.116 | $476.23 |
| 05-06 19:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.115 | $10.32 |
| 05-06 19:31 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.114 | $17.83 |